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India : Ajai Shukla: Selling BMWs to farmers
 
BY : Ajai shukla

By the 6th of March, six global aircraft majors Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Dassault, Eurofighter GmbH, Gripen International and RAC-MiG must submit offers for selling India 126 Medium Multi-Role Combat Aircraft (MMRCA). Worth an estimated $11 billion, this could be one of the biggest arms sales ever. For Indian defence planning, it would be the most expensive folly ever.

In acquiring yet another type of fighter aircraft, the Indian Air Force (IAF) will compound an existing problem of interoperability. There are major differences between Russian block equipment (the MiG series, and the Sukhoi-30MKI) and Western bloc equipment (the Mirage-2000 and the Jaguar). As a result, each IAF airbase is geared to support a certain type of aircraft; other types cannot just fly in and operate from there without major logistic preparations.

Consider an imaginary war with Pakistan. If India were launching a ground offensive, say around Lahore, the IAF would support that thrust with as many combat aircraft as possible. It would need to bomb Pakistani airbases to prevent the Pakistan Air Force from taking off; it would strike Pakistani ground forces and the infrastructure that supports them; it would also perform other missions like photoreconnaissance. Since the airbases around Lahore have just a small number of aircraft, fighters based in Rajasthan, Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh and the eastern sector will need to be re-located to Punjab, just before the battle begins.

That is where the problem begins. A Mirage 2000 cannot easily relocate from its permanent base in Gwalior to an airbase in, say, Pathankote. The Pathankote airbase supports Mig-series aircraft; its maintenance personnel, spare parts inventory, stocks of bombs and rockets and operational practices are geared towards MiGs. Today, if a Mirage 2000 were to land in Pathankote, it would require an entire support team from Gwalior to make it take off again. In wartime, relocating a squadron of Mirage-2000s would be a major logistical exercise and a clear signal to Pakistan of an impending attack.

This problem is already set to worsen when India's Light Combat Aircraft (LCA), called the Tejas, enters service with the IAF. Purchasing a new MMRCA will invite a full-blown logistic nightmare.

Besides the need for inter-base operability, there is another good reason to abandon the MMRCA purchase: today's IAF simply cannot exploit the capabilities of the aircraft it is setting out to buy. The technological excellence of a modern MMRCA, like the Eurofighter or the Rafale, does not lie in its airframe, engines, or its flying performance. Instead, its advantages lie in avionics, and in its net-centric capability, which means that the aircraft and its pilot are seamlessly integrated into an electronic battlefield management system. This system receives inputs � in real time � from a comprehensive network of radars, airborne warning systems and satellites; and it displays these inputs in the form of a battlefield picture. The controllers then allocate targets to Indian fire units, which could be fighter aircraft, cruise missiles, ballistic missiles or even army rocket batteries. Air forces like the American, British and French can electronically assign a target to an airborne fighter and automatically upload a digital map of the target area.

India is far from such a network. Our radars operate in small clumps, our data links are not in place, and our airspace management network is inferior even to Pakistan's. Many of our key systems work on incompatible protocols. An economically resurgent India can afford to buy the MMRCA. But doing so would be like a farmer with a bumper crop busting his money on a BMW with a city navigation system and great FM stereo. He wouldn't use most of the high-tech systems.

So what is India's smarter alternative? The path is illuminated by an earlier IAF procurement, the carefully structured Sukhoi-30MKI fighter. Instead of accepting a ready-built Russian aircraft for fancy prices, the IAF creatively married Sukhoi's airframe and engine excellence, with an advanced avionics package made from Israeli and French components. The Sukhoi-30MKI's avionics were tailor-made for IAF requirements; India did not pay fancy prices for capabilities that would never be used. The Sukhoi experience was further refined when the IAF went about upgrading the MiG series fighters; advanced avionics will extend their service lives at minimal cost.

India must stick with a medium fighter that it already flies. The IAF has long pressed for increasing the size of its Mirage 2000 fleet (currently 52 aircraft), a fighter that its pilots hold in high regard. An advanced variant of the Mirage 2000 was one of the options in the MMRCA purchase until Paris replaced it with the newer, more expensive Rafale fighter, informing New Delhi that the Mirage 2000 production line was being wound up. An opportunity lies here for India; Paris would most likely grab the chance to sell India the Mirage 2000 production line, and benefit from production royalties and the opportunity to involve French avionics companies like Thales and Thomson CSF in developing an aviation package customised for India. France realises that American and Russian marketing clout in New Delhi leaves it with little chance of selling the Rafale.

Today, no official or politician is willing to tell the Indian public the unpalatable truth that the IAF is not technologically geared to operate highly networked fighter aircraft. Instead, it is more convenient to make grandiose declarations about providing the military with the world's best equipment and then stonewalling the purchase with layers of procedures. Opting for a near-state-of-the-art, made-in-India Mirage 2000 variant requires not just a fine understanding of defence planning but also the courage to make and publicly defend a subjective military decision. Neither quality has been in evidence in the MoD so far.
 
 
 
   
 
 
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    Comments (4)  Print
     
     
    #1 Author: OneSanakyan (26 February 2008 20:23)
     
    Ajai Shukla seems to have consumed too much french wine and too many slimy escargpts!
    Moreover the French would have provied most of the data for his writeup of this article, knowing fully what a gullible clown he is.

    If MOD and the IAF brass have people like Ajai Shukla in their planning team then he would surely see to it that India is at least a few decades behind its adversaries. He even surprises readers as to his insight of superior Pakistani airspace management. He could have shared a few goats with Musharaf or the ACM of the PAF!

    If Ajai Shukla had his way, at least all the fighter aircraft in the IAF inventory would be only from one manufacturer, be it Indian or otherwise. Commanality and logistics seem to be his priorities. His world seems to have become static.

    Get out of your India bashing mode and look around. See how other nationalities look up to the hopes, aspirations and their scientific and technogical achievements.

    You would rather not have the LCA because it is not only 'inferior and obsolete' as pointed by your goodself in some of your earlier ramblings but would also cause more chaos to logistics. Please understand that different aircrafts have different roles to play. Even multi-role fighter aircrafts which can perform as bombers cannot surpass the role of a dedicated bomber. The MMRCA specifications of the IAF far exceeds the ability and performance of the Mirage. Do you expect the IAF to operate these 90s machines for another half a century!

    Wake up man. Do some research and soul-searching before sucking up to foreign defence vendors and babus in the MOD with vested interest.
     
     
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    #2 Author: kapayan (27 February 2008 10:10)
     
    Ajai shukla always writes a whole load of crap. ignore em.
     
     
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    #3 Author: XYZ (28 February 2008 05:30)
     
    With reference to Ajai Shukla's article which is although true but the present secnario would change drastically in future years as the tech starved Indian armed forces would be gradually modernized and upgraded. LockheedMartin has already tiedup with Wipro to devlop Network centric capabilities for the Indian armed forces. Moreover It is also in contention to upgrade many airbases and other airstations of the country.They have already presented the F-16IN which would be a 4.5 gen aircraft with AESA radars. Intheir brochure they have claimed that the F-16IN would be fully compatible with the present infrastructure which exists for the Indian Airforce. Ajai is right to some extent .The SU-30MKI/MK3 would be loaded with advanced electronic warfare systems and AESA radars and already they have exhibited their superiority over the Typhoon, Rafale and the F-15.Barring the F-22 Raptor and theF-35 JSF all theother aircraft will not be able to match the SU-30 and when the Fifth Gen fighter from Sukhoi (PAKFA) is ready it could turn out be an added option for India along with the F-35.

    Except some of the Mig-29's & Mirage 2000's allthe other Migs would be phased out in a decade inc. the Mig-21's and the Mig-27's Even the older Jaguars wont be flying after 2022.
    India does not need the Typhoon or the Rafale. As a second fiddle to the Sukhoi with back up support from the LCA India needs a light weight fighter where the F-16IN would fit in.Another feasible option could be the Mig-35 since the IAF is already acquainted with the Mig-29 .Mirages wont stand a chance before the American aircraft therefore the French withdrew them Even the Rafale's future is bleak since many countries have opted for either the Falcons or the Eagles.Both RAF and TYP are enormously costly and it wont make sense to buy them and spend extra sums on devloping the infrastructure.India has many options wrt radars, aeroengines, weaponry , aircraft and ammunition.
     
     
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    #4 Author: ram123 (29 February 2008 07:00)
     
    Its true that IAF is not a Net-centric force but i believe we are moving in that direction. The acquisition Phalcon AEW systems, Indigenious AWACS system, acquisition of Aerostat radars, Indigenious Remote sensing satellites are steps to acquire Net centric capability. Any new acquisition must be done keeping in view a future scenario of 10 - 20 yrs from now.
    Mirage-2000 - 9 can be good only as a Interim requirement and not a mainstay for next 2-3 decades esp considering the pace at whcih PLAAF is galloping ahead in technology and numbers.
    But it is a fact that different types of arcrafts pose a big problem in maintenance and handling. Considering the upgrade programs of older aircrafts IAF will have Su-30,Mirage-2000,Mig-29,Jaguar,Mig-27 for a long time to come. Add to this a new Aircraft will only compound the woes of the IAF which doesnt have a great track record of MRO.

    An ideal choice would be Mig-35 or Rafale because both are twin engined and IAF has operated Mig-29 and Mirage-2000 in the past. It would be like going in for a advanced verison of the existing Mig-29 or Mirage-2000.
     
     
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